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Quarterly Newsletter- Q4 2026

Quarterly Newsletter- Q4 2026

July 22, 2026

Meet The Interns

This summer we were lucky to get to work with two very talented college students. Below, they introduce themselves to those who might not have had the chance to meet them. 

Greenley Floyd

     My name is Greenley Floyd, and I am currently a student at The University of Tennessee at Chattanooga, where I am pursuing a  degree in both Accounting and Finance. This Summer I am thrilled tobe a Student Worker at The Parker Group Baird here in Columbia, TN, where I was born and raised. Deeply rooted in the Columbia community, I am eager to apply my academic foundation to practical wealth management strategies that support our client’s financial goals. 

     During my time at UTC, I have actively developed both my financial and leadership skills through several roles. I currently serve as a lead analyst for the SMILE Fund, where I conduct research for stock reports through financial analysis using tools like DCF Models, and Bloomberg terminals. Additionally, I serve as the President of Women in Business, where I lead young women towards the right direction when stepping into the professional world. I have also gained some professional experience through my accounting intern position at Lighthouse CFO Group, where I was responsible forassisting in financial recording and documentation. I am also a proud recipient of the Phillips Scholar in Free Enterprise Scholarship, which was given for understanding and appreciating the free market system. In my free time I enjoy painting anything and everything,arts and crafts.My goal when graduating is to work in the wealth management field. I am excited to see what knowledge I can gain at my time here at Baird over the next couple ofmonths!

Barrett Poe

     My name is Barrett Poe, and I am one of the summer interns at the Baird office in Columbia. I am going into my senior year at Freed-Hardeman University, where I am currently working on receiving a Master of Business Administration and a bachelor’s degree in both financial planning and accounting. Post-graduation, I plan on receiving my Certified Financial Planner certification and working in the Middle Tennessee area as your financial planner.

     Currently, I am on Freed-Hardeman’s cross-country and track teams and served as the team captain this past semester. I am also serving on Freed-Hardeman’s Hatchett Investment Team, where a group of students manages a real-time portfolio. In my free time, I enjoy running, camping, hiking, kayaking, and pretty much anything active outdoors. I have loved working with The Parker Group so far and am excited to serve for the rest of the summer!

History of American Currency

By Barrett Poe

     As the world shifts to the digital age, debit cards, mobile payments, and online banking have become the norm, while cash has been playing a decreasing role. Many businesses now have signs saying “Card Only” or “Cash Not Accepted”, and my generation often goes days or even weeks without handling physical currency. Yet the money that is gradually disappearing from daily transactions has a long and complex history. The evolution of American currency reflects our nation's struggles and innovations from the colonial era to the digital age.

     In the 17th century, the American colonists were under the British Empire's rule. Like the Brits, the colonists used the British pound; however, the British didn't send enough coins to the colonies to meet their needs. While some trade cities were able to rely on foreign currency, the rest of the colonists turned to trading. In the northern colonies, commodities such as beaver pelts and grain dominated the economies, while in the south, tobacco leaves and rice took over. In 1690, the colony of Massachusetts started printing its own currency - the "colonial note." The other colonies quickly followed suit and made their own notes. However, as the colonies started printing their own currency, the British started to crack down on the colonies. This all came to a peak in 1764.

     The British had just finished up the Seven Years' War and were in massive debt. This war had been fought over four continents, including North America. To cover the debt and increase military presence in the American Colonies, the British Parliament passed a series of eleven acts from 1764 to 1774. Some of these acts placed taxes on sugar, molasses, and coffee, but one notable act that angered many colonists was the Currency Act of 1764. This act prevented colonists from issuing their own currency. 

     However, on April 19, 1775, the American Colonies started the war for independence. Quickly, a problem arose for the colonies. The war was extremely expensive for the colonies and there wasn't nearly enough money to fund it. So, the governing body of representatives for the colonies, the Continental Congress, permitted the production of the first American paper currency, the "Continental." While the Continental did serve its purpose to help fund the new United States army, it was overprinted and quickly lost its value, leading to the phrase, "not worth a Continental." 

     After the war, Continentals were still overproduced, and counterfeits were rampant. The newly founded United States of America needed to make a change to the current currency situation. Since the early 1600s, numerous types of foreign currency, namely the Spanish dollar, had flooded the area. This led the new United States Congress to create the U.S. dollar and the United States Mint through the Currency Act of 1792. Due to the strength of the Spanish dollar, commonly known as a "Piece of Eight," the new U.S. dollar coins were based on the weight and value of the Spanish dollar. Finally, the US had a stable national currency.

     However, at the time, there still hadn't been enough US dollars produced to supply the quickly expanding frontier. Many traders and settlers turned to deerskins. The deerskin or "buckskin", as it was also called, was probably one of the stronger currencies along the frontier and it was worth about a dollar. This gave rise to the term "buck" being used in reference to the dollar. Foreign currencies were also being used due to the lack of U.S Dollars. In 1857, Congress finally ended the legal status of foreign currency in America with the Coinage Act of 1857. Citizens were allowed to turn in their foreign coins to the U.S. Treasury and then the U.S. would give an equal amount of American coinage. Coins had worked well in the U.S. for the last 85 years, but in 1861, things quickly changed.

     The Civil War started in April 1861, when the Confederates attacked Fort Sumter in South Carolina. The United States, or the Union, quickly realized that it needed financing to be able to fund the war. In 1861 and 1862, Congress authorized the production of Demand Notes and Legal Tender Notes. These notes, also called “greenbacks,” were printed in the current U.S. currency denominations and could be turned into the Treasury to receive the respective amount of gold. In fact, these notes are still considered legal tender and can be redeemed at face value. As the Civil War continued, counterfeits were produced and wreaked havoc on the United States’ money supply. By the end of the war, about one-third of all currency in the U.S. was fake. To combat this, on April 14th, 1865, President Lincoln signed legislation that created the United States Secret Service, whose job would be to detect and remove counterfeits. Ironically, later that night, Lincoln would be assassinated at Ford’s Theater partly due to a lack of competent security. The Secret Service would remain a counterfeit detection agency until the assassination of President McKinley in 1901.

     As the nation became more established, changes in the currency system became less frequent. However, there were still some big changes happening. In 1913, President Woodrow Wilson helped create the Federal Reserve to meet the nation’s changing economy. With the new national bank and the end of the Great War (World War I) in 1917, the U.S. government began producing the $500, $1,000, $5,000, and $10,000 bills for circulation, which remained in production till 1945.

     Between 1920 and 1970, some design and security measures were put in place. In 1928, serial numbers made their first appearance on currency. In 1929, the banknote shrank by about 30% to its current size to cut costs. In 1955, President Dwight D. Eisenhower signed into law the placement of the phrase “In God We Trust” on all bills and coins. The last major change for the U.S. currency occurred in 1971. President Nixon was faced with a major problem. The Vietnam War had caused the U.S. to overprint the dollar notes, which led to inflation. Additionally, foreign governments recognized that the U.S. would not be able to cover its debts with gold, so they started redeeming their dollars for gold. On August 15, 1971, Nixon decided to end the dollar’s attachment to the gold standard and switch to a fiat currency system. This announcement, also known as the “Nixon Shock,” caused chaos as foreign currency exchanges had to reevaluate the trading rates and led to much uncertainty during the 1970s.

     Since 1971, there has been virtually no change (no pun intended) to U.S. bills and coins. However, there has been a significant change in how currency is transferred and distributed. In 1966, the first debit card program started in Delaware and then quickly expanded across the United States with the introduction of ATMs and point-of-sale systems. By the late 1990s and early 2000s, debt and credit cards were quickly becoming more prevalent due to the ease of use. Since then, cashless transactions have continued to become a larger share of the market, so much so that some businesses do not accept bills and coins. According to research completed in 2022, Capital One predicted that 56% of Americans will no longer use cash in a typical week by 2026. Based on my observations, I’d say it’s likely that percentage is even higher.

     As Americans rely on digital payments, physical currency will continue to take a backseat in everyday life. Yet this transition is only the latest chapter in a long history of change. The United States has moved from bartering and foreign coins to paper notes, federally regulated currency, and electronic transactions. This shift shows that American currency has continually changed to reflect the economic and technological realities of each era.

The Best Financial Gift You Can Give Your Kids

By Intern Greenley Floyd

    

     When most families think about building a legacy, the conversation tends to revolve around financial assets. Parents and grandparents spend a lifetime saving for retirement, investing for the future, and creating opportunities for the next generation. While those efforts are incredibly important, there is another asset that often goes overlooked—one that can have an even greater long-term impact: financial literacy.

     A large inheritance can be spent. Even lottery winners can go broke. But strong financial habits stay with someone for life. More importantly, they ensure that a family’s legacy of financial responsibility lasts.

As a college student studying accounting and finance, I have seen firsthand that many students—even in these fields—lack a foundation in financial literacy. It iscommon to see someone who can confidently navigate a Bloomberg terminal but still uses Afterpay to buy lunch. That disconnect between what we learn in the classroom and how we manage our money in real life is hard to ignore.

     In many ways, it reflects a broader trend within our generation. We have grown up with convenience and financial support that, while helpful, can delay the development of true financial independence. And when financial conversations do happen, they often stay surface-level—focused on tuition, rent, or everyday expenses—rather than teaching how to solve these problems long-term, avoid repeating them, and handle larger financial responsibilities earlier in life.

     For families like yours already working with financial advisors, these conversations can become even more impactful. Advisors help navigate complex decisions, but a truly successful legacy plan goes beyond transferring assets. More importantly, your kids are more likely to listen to them over you. It prepares the next generation to understand, manage, and appreciate what they may one day inherit. Because what value does an asset really have if your child does not know how to use it wisely?

     In many ways, financial literacy enhances the value of every dollar earned, saved, invested, and eventually passed down. It gives young adults the confidence to make informed decisions, adapt to unexpected circumstances, and pursue their goals without confusion.

     However, today’s young adults are entering a financial landscape that is more complex than ever. Between student loans, credit cards, rising living costs, and countless investment options, many are making decisions they were never formally taught how to handle. Basic concepts—like budgeting, compound interest, and retirement planning—can feel out of reach.

     At the same time, there is one area many have mastered: keeping up with trends. With social media constantly putting the newest thing just a click away, spending has never been easier—or more tempting. Services like Afterpay normalize financing even small purchases, creating habits that make debt feel routine instead of something to approach with caution. Combined with a culture that is increasingly materialistic and status-driven, it becomes easy to prioritize short-term wants over long-term stability.

     What makes this even more concerning are the numbers behind it. Almost halfof Americans do not have enough savings to cover a $1,000 emergency. Many carry more credit card debt than savings, and over half report living paycheck to paycheck—including a large portion of young adults. These trends reflect the same patterns we see every day.

     It is easy to look at those statistics and think, “That will never be my child.” But without intentional guidance, there is no way to be certain. Once you are no longer there to offer advice, the habits and mindset your children develop now will determine how they handle their financial future.

     The good news is that financial literacy does not require complicated lessons. Sometimes, simple conversations can make the biggest impact.

     You can start with three concepts:

  • The importance of budgeting

  • The true cost of debt

  • The long-term value of compound interest

     As someone still early in my own financial journey, I have come to realize just how little many people my age truly understand about money. While financial literacy is not built overnight, the earlier these conversations begin, the greater the long-term impact.

     A check can be spent in an instant—but financial literacy creates value for a lifetime. As Benjamin Franklin said, “An investment in knowledge always pays the best interest.”

Market Outlook

One of the stranger branches of sciences is centered on something called “chaos theory”. While it’s likely not your favorite audiobook genre, you likely have heard of its most famous creation. The Butterfly Effect is the idea that one smaller event can trigger a chain reaction of events that grow in scope and end in consequences of a much more serious nature.

While there are always many factors that are at play in the global economy, the most impactful one was certainly the price of oil. It was the first “flap of the butterfly’s wings” that contributed to many of the headlines we saw affect markets this past quarter. So here, we focus on a chain of events that begin on February 28th of this year.

Conflict leads to higher energy prices.

-         The U.S. entered into a conflict with Iran and its allies in February with a joint strike on Iranian nuclear facilities, military infrastructure, and leadership. The US had been engaged in diplomatic negotiations with Iran but had failed to reach an agreement regarding its nuclear infrastructure and development. Iran’s retaliation included strikes on commercial shipping in the nearby Strait of Hormuz, preventing a major source of global oil from being shipped out of the area.

Higher energy prices contribute to broader inflation

-          The flow of oil decreased, causing prices to drastically increase. While energy prices are just one facet of the overall inflation calculation, they have a broad impact on almost every category. Oil prices rose from roughly $60/barrel into the $100’s.1 High oil prices certainly cause pain at the pump, but they also increased the costs of most goods. This includes food (needs oil to farm and transport), plastics (oil is a component), air travel (jet fuel), clothing (polyester and synthetic rubber production requires oil), and many more.2

Broader inflation contributes to consumer stress and higher rates.

-         Inflation (CPI) showed a year-over-year increase of 3.4%2 and both the consumer and Federal Reserve took note. Higher prices seemed to begin to take a toll on the consumer. Walmart CEO Doug McMillon stated in their quarterly earnings announcement that inflation weighed on their earnings3 as the retailer tried to swallow some of the higher costs for food, apparel and more. Most importantly, the Federal Reserve raised interest rates in September in an effort to quell inflation.

Higher rates put pressure on borrowers and bondholders.

-         Interest rates continued their march higher throughout the third quarter. The average 30-year mortgage rose to over 7.4%4, putting pressure on an already-stagnant real estate market. As always, higher rates will likely put pressure on the ability of new or growing businesses as their access to affordable capital decreases. And finally, AI continued to play a vital role. Not only did AI investment pull a away a number of potential Treasure bond investors, but there is an increased fear that AI-related borrowing might be a time bomb with rates creeping higher.

     Despite all these dominos falling, it still stands that the S&P 500 posted gains yet again5 in the third quarter. It can be true that things felt bad this quarter while they weren’t actually bad yet. The University of Michigan Consumer Sentiment gauge shows that consumers feel worse about the economy now than they did in 20086. The data shows a different picture. US economic production has stayed strong with GDP still growing7. Personal Consumer Expenditure data showed a consumer that is stable at a minimum8. Jobless claims9 and corporate layoff announcements10 continued to come in at a low level all quarter.

     It’s a good time to remember that every single quarterly market update in the history of man (pardon the hyperbole) has included some hypothetical axe that might fall in the quarter to come. So, this letter isn’t meant to be irregularly ominous. If exports were to begin to flow from the Middle East again, it’s likely that it would bring great relief to everyone, consumers and economists alike. We continue to cheer for this to happen but remain vigilant in stewarding your savings.

Enjoy the fall weather, and we look forward to our next meeting!

Sources:

1.      https://tradingeconomics.com/commodity/crude-oil

2.      https://www.bls.gov/news.release/cpi.t01.htm

3.      https://stock.walmart.com/_assets/_8c8425b76a1d46bbbbc16466da2a6b9c/walmart/db/938/9996/transcript_management_call/Earnings+Transcript+%28FY27+Q2%29.pdf

4.      https://www.bankrate.com/mortgages/mortgage-rates/

5.      www.spglobal.com/spdji/en/indices/equity/sp-500/

6.      https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/UMCSENT

7.      https://www.bea.gov/data/gdp/gross-domestic-product

8.      https://www.bea.gov/data/personal-consumption-expenditures-price-index

9.      https://tradingeconomics.com/united-states/jobless-claims